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Grammy 2019 Big Four Category Projections

Music’s biggest night is a mere two weeks away. It is on this night that awards will be given to the men and women who have released the biggest album and songs of the past year. For many artists, it will be a reoccurring deal for them, such as Drake. But for others, such as Ella Mai, the night boasts an opportunity of recognition from an industry that continues to remain a big deal in entertainment. The Grammy Awards is known for recognizing all genres of music, but perhaps none are as important as the show’s big four awards: Album of the Year, Song of the Year, Record of the Year, and Best New Artist. Below are projections as to who is likely to take home the gold trophy in each of those four categories on music’s biggest night this year.

Best New Artist:

Nominees: Chloe x Halle, Luke Combs, Greta Van Fleet, H.E.R., Dua Lipa, Margo Price, Bebe Rexha, Jorja Smith

Top Pick: H.E.R.

Second Choice: Bebe Rexha

Explanation: The history of the Best New Artist award has been one of prestige that usually catapults rising acts to that of superstardom, such as former winners Meghan Trainor, Christina Aguilera, and Mariah Carey. It is no coincidence that H.E.R. has found herself nominated in several high profile categories just to come up short to opponents who aren’t as highly recommended. However, if the pop vote holds dominance, expect Bebe Rexha pulling an upset.

Song of the Year (award recognizing the songwriters of a song):

Nominees: Kendrick Lamar x SZA “All the Stars”, Ella Mai “Boo’d Up”, Drake “God’s Plan”, Shawn Mendes “In My Blood”, Brandi Charlile “The Joke”, Zedd “The Middle”, Lady Gaga “Shallow”, Childish Gambino “This is America”

Top Pick: “Shallow”, Lady Gaga

Second Choice: “This is America”, Childish Gambino

Explanation: Lady Gaga’s career has been on a critical and commercial resurgence since the release of her film and accompanying soundtrack. While movie and music awards don’t often vote the same, they don’t always vote too different either. If Gaga falls short, expect a win for Gambino whose song was a political win for music in 2018.

Record of the Year (award recognizing producers of a song):

Nominees: Cardi B “I Like It”, Brandi Carlile “The Joke”, Childish Gambino “This is America”, Drake “God’s Plan”, Lady Gaga “Shallow”, Kendrick Lamar x SZA “All The Stars”, Post Malone x 21 Savage “Rockstar”, Zedd “The Middle”

Top Pick: “God’s Plan”, Drake

Second Choice: “I Like It”, Cardi B

Explanation: The years of more obscure critical records winning in the big categories has subsided. When you think of music in 2018, you think of Cardi B and you think of Drake. Both of their records were so monstrous that it is hard to go against either of them in this category. Drake has long been overdue his big moment at the Grammy Awards, hence why this victory is owed to him. However, a Cardi B cinderella story is not unlikely either.

Album of the Year

Nominees: “Invasion of Privacy” Cardi B, “By The Way, I Forgive You” Brandi Carlile, “Scorpion” Drake, “H.E.R.” H.E.R., “Beerpongs & Bentleys” Post Malone, “Dirty Computer” Janelle Monae, “Golden Hour” Kacey Musgraves, Black Panther: The Album, Music From and Inspired By

Top Pick: “By The Way, I Forgive You”, Brandi Carlile

Second Choice: “Beerpongs & Bentleys”, Post Malone

Explanation: I would love to see Kendrick Lamar or Drake finally get the critical recognition they deserve on music’s biggest night, but history seems inevitable to prove that it is a dream long deferred for these two amazing artists. Similarly, seeing Cardi B take the stage after releasing the most influential album of 2018 would be a moment great for television as well. However, don’t be surprised if the non-urban vote takes the trophy on this one. If a hip-hop album does win big, expect it to be Post Malone.

 

Thoughts?

January 30, 2019

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